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Reuters - 9小时前

History sets the playbook for US election FX impact

BUZZ-COMMENT-History sets the playbook for US election FX impact Oct 25 (Reuters) - Looking at the past two U.S. elections and the subsequent fallout across the FX space can give us a rough playbook as to how FX will likely trade on either a Donald Trump or Kamala Harris victory. In 2016, Trump’s shock victory led to a wave of dollar buying across the board, most notably against the euro, yen, MXN and AUD – the last, in large part due to being a liquid China proxy to trade.
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Reuters - 18小时前

China's yuan heads for 4th weekly decline amid worries of a possible Trump win

China's yuan heads for 4th weekly decline amid worries of a possible Trump win SHANGHAI, Oct 25 (Reuters) - China's yuan held steady against the dollar on Friday, but is headed for its fourth weekly decline amid a resurgence in the U.S. currency and growing concerns over an escalating trade war if Donald Trump wins next month's election. The yuan CNY=CFXS was trading around 7.1250 per dollar in late morning session, 0.1% weaker than the previous close.
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Reuters - 18小时前

China Policy Watch-More in store, much at stake

BUZZ-COMMENT-China Policy Watch-More in store, much at stake Oct 25 (Reuters) - Markets have swung from euphoria to jaded pessimism on China. While further stimulus is almost a certainty as the stakes for the economy continue to rise, whether or not the measures meet lofty expectation is the question. China has announced a swathe of monetary policy easing steps since late September.
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Reuters - 2天前

Home bias keeps China's dollar bonds supported

Home bias keeps China's dollar bonds supported SINGAPORE, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Dollar bonds issued by Chinese firms have stayed supported through the year, despite market volatility and investors' apathy towards China-linked assets, as mainland businesses plough their stockpile of dollars abroad into such debt. CONTEXT Domestic investors and exporters have been stashing money abroad as a weak economy and low yields at home undermines the yuan CNY=CFXS , setting it on course for a third year of dep
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Reuters - 2天前

Bears circle China's yuan gearing for Trump win

ANALYSIS-Bears circle China's yuan gearing for Trump win Yuan hit by Trump's potential White House return, trade tariff threats Chinese exporters hoard dollars, stashing money abroad Authorities prefer weak yuan to protect export revenues By Rae Wee SINGAPORE, Oct 24 (Reuters) - China's currency is feeling the pressure from a possible return of Donald Trump as U.S.
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Reuters - 3天前

View of the Week-US exceptionalism is alive and kicking

RPT-BUZZ- View of the Week-US exceptionalism is alive and kicking Repeats with no changes Oct 21 (Reuters) - In the space of two months, the market narrative has shifted away from left-tail, hard landing risks -- which appeared to have spooked the Federal Reserve into kickstarting its easing cycle with a larger than usual 50bp rate cut -- to a view that U.S.
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Reuters - 4天前

View of the Week-US exceptionalism is alive and kicking

BUZZ- View of the Week-US exceptionalism is alive and kicking Oct 21 (Reuters) - In the space of two months, the market narrative has shifted away from left-tail, hard landing risks -- which appeared to have spooked the Federal Reserve into kickstarting its easing cycle with a larger than usual 50bp rate cut -- to a view that U.S. exceptionalism is back.
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Reuters - 4天前

China's yuan edges down as 'Trump trade' supports dollar

China's yuan edges down as 'Trump trade' supports dollar By Summer Zhen HONG KONG, Oct 22 (Reuters) - China's yuan dipped slightly on Tuesday as the dollar was underpinned by rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning next month's U.S. election and on expectations the Federal Reserve will resist aggressive monetary easing. The dollar clung to a 2-1/2-month high in early Asia trade on surging treasury yields.
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Reuters - 4天前

China won't weaken the yuan because it may backfire

BUZZ-COMMENT-China won't weaken the yuan because it may backfire Oct 22 (Reuters) - China's yuan is rising in relative terms, despite the broadly stronger USD. While that gives Beijing room to weaken it for a trade advantage , this seems unlikely as weaponizing the yuan could easily backfire. The trade-weighted renminbi index has reached its highest since July 11 , while the dollar index =USD is near a three-month peak.
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Reuters - 4天前

Dollar rises in tandem with US rates on economic view

FOREX-Dollar rises in tandem with US rates on economic view Fed officials suggest gradual rate cuts ahead Investors position for Nov. 5 US presidential election Updated at 3:04 pm ET/1904 GMT By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed on Monday, buoyed by a rise in U.S. bond yields, as a run of solid U.S. economic data suggested the Federal Reserve can afford to be patient in cutting rates while investors positioned for the Nov.
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Reuters - 4天前

Holding stock records, with a golden hedge

MORNING BID AMERICAS-Holding stock records, with a golden hedge A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan A relatively quiet start to the week for world markets leaves Wall Street pondering the sustainability of the recent record highs as corporate earnings updates pour in, the S&P500 index .SPX nears 6,000 and the election looms .
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Reuters - 5天前

China's yuan steady after LPR cuts, eyes on U.S. election

China's yuan steady after LPR cuts, eyes on U.S. election SHANGHAI, Oct 21 (Reuters) - China's yuan held steady against the U.S. dollar, after the country cut its benchmark lending rates as expected, while market participants expected yuan strength to be capped in the near term as they await U.S. election results. China cut its one- and five-year loan prime rates (LPRs) by 25 basis points each, as anticipated at the monthly fixing on Monday.
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Reuters - 5天前

China cuts key lending rates to support growth

UPDATE 1-China cuts key lending rates to support growth Adds background from eighth paragraph By Samuel Shen and Vidya Ranganathan SHANGHAI/SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - China cut benchmark lending rates as anticipated at the monthly fixing on Monday, following reductions to other policy rates last month as part of a package of stimulus measures to revive the economy.
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Reuters - 5天前

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

UPDATE 1-Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 21 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8283.2 -72.7 NZX 50** 12823.89 55.35 DJIA 43275.91 36.86 NIKKEI** 38981.75 70.56 Nasdaq 18489.553 115.944 FTSE** 8358.25 -26.88 S&P 500 5864.67 23.2 Hang Seng** 20804.11 725.01 SPI 200 Fut 8365 44 STI** 3640.19 14.94 SSEC** 3261.5633 92.179 KOSPI** 2593.82 -15.48 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds JP 10 YR Bond
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Reuters - 5天前

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets

Asia Morning Call-Global Markets Oct 21 (Reuters) - Stock Markets Net Chng Stock Markets Net Chng S&P/ASX 200** 8283.2 -72.7 NZX 50** 12823.89 55.35 DJIA 43275.91 36.86 NIKKEI** 38981.75 70.56 Nasdaq 18489.553 115.944 FTSE** 8358.25 -26.88 S&P 500 5864.67 23.2 Hang Seng** 20804.11 725.01 SPI 200 Fut 8365 44 STI** 3640.19 14.94 SSEC** 3261.5633 92.179 KOSPI** 2593.82 -15.48 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bonds Bonds JP 10 YR Bond 0.97 0.01
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Reuters - 1周前

US dollar rally pauses, but uptrend intact; set for 3rd weekly gain

FOREX-US dollar rally pauses, but uptrend intact; set for 3rd weekly gain Dollar index on track for best month since February 2023 US housing starts fall in September Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade' Adds new comment, graphic, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell on Friday, taking a breather after five straight days of gains, as risk appetite increased following yet another round of stimulus measures
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Reuters - 1周前

US dollar falls as risk appetite rises after China; but set for 3rd weekly gain

FOREX-US dollar falls as risk appetite rises after China; but set for 3rd weekly gain Dollar index on track for best month since April 2022 US housing starts fall Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade' Recasts, adds new comment, byline, NEW YORK dateline, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Amanda Cooper NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm Price action in FX options reinforces the outlook that there's little to excite FX markets before the U.S. election, but plenty of risks to hedge in its wake. The recent/current lack of FX realised volatility is weighing on implied volatility, especially for options that expire prior to the U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

Dollar set for third weekly gain as 'Trump trade' gathers pace

FOREX-Dollar set for third weekly gain as 'Trump trade' gathers pace Dollar steady on US economic resilience, euro sags Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade' Updates prices at 1135 GMT By Tom Westbrook and Amanda Cooper SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar headed for its third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S.
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Reuters - 1周前

Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain

FOREX-Dollar rides 'Trump trade' toward third weekly gain Dollar steady on US economic resilience, euro sags Chinese yuan eyes further stimulus details Bitcoin gains on 'Trump trade' Updates throughout; refreshes prices at 0906 GMT By Tom Westbrook and Amanda Cooper SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The dollar was headed for its third weekly gain in a row on Friday, helped by a dovish European Central Bank and strong U.S.
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