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XM市场研究 - 9小时前

Nasdaq 100 braces for a huge US data week - Stock Markets

Nasdaq 100 loses some ground after six-week bullish streakMagnificent Seven report earnings, US data to adjust rate cut estimatesNasdaq 100 Weekly PerformanceThe Nasdaq 100 is set to finish the week mildly lower by 0.46%, breaking a six-week non-stop rally as with the other major US indices. Despite flying back above the 20,000 level though, it could not surpass July’s all-time high of 20,690, raising speculation about whether the slight technical pullback could develop into something ugl
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XM市场研究 - 12小时前Neutral

Technical Analysis – Ethereum hovers above key support levels

Mixed movements in cryptocurrencies this weekEthereum is under pressure, trading a tad above 2,507Momentum indicators are currently directionlessEthereum is having a bad week, significantly underperforming against bitcoin. It is currently trading a tad above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the October 13, 2023 – March 12, 2024 uptrend of 2,507, inside the developing symmetrical triangle.
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XM市场研究 - 12小时前

Week Ahead – A decisive week for USD with NFP and more; BoJ meets

A crucial week lies ahead with US jobs report, advance GDP and PCE inflationThe Bank of Japan is expected to hold rates, but will it flag a year-end hike?Flash GDP and CPI data for the euro area are also hotly anticipatedAustralian quarterly CPI and UK budget on the agenda tooAll eyes on US data as Fed turns hawkish againThe Federal Reserve’s surprise decision in September to cut rates by a larger-than-expected 50-basis-points seems like a distant memory now, as policymakers are once again sen
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XM市场研究 - 12小时前Bearish

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD battles with 200-day SMA

AUDUSD may pause downside moveStochastic and RSI still show negative signsAUDUSD has been battling with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.6630 over the last couple of days, and selling interest has started after its pullback off the 20-month high of 0.6940.According to technical oscillators, the stochastic is trying to cross beneath the 20 level, and the RSI is sloping slightly south below the neutral threshold of 50.If the price successfully falls below the 200-day SMA and the
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XM市场研究 - 14小时前

Daily Comment – Tensions remain high in equities

Strong US data is not welcomed by equitiesBusy calendar today but markets are already focusing on next weekJapan holds election on Sunday; the outcome could surpriseBoJ and yen could suffer from a hung parliament Data reconfirm the strength of the US economyYesterday’s PMI surveys release was a stark reminder that the US presidential election is not the sole market-moving factor.
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XM市场研究 - 14小时前Neutral

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD: Will September’s bullish vibes return?

AUDUSD tests support area near 200-day SMAShort-term bias remains on the negative sideAUDUSD has been on a downward slide again, marking its fourth consecutive week in the red. It recently dipped to a two-month low of 0.6612 but held above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) and the constraining falling line from February 2023, which increases speculation as to whether the sell-off is finally hitting a bottom.Remember back in September when those support lines gave the price a nice boost?
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XM市场研究 - 15小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD still near the almost 3-month high

USDCAD adds 3.4% from 1.3420Remains well above the SMAsMACD and RSI indicate overbought levelsUSDCAD has been creating a notable bullish rally since the bounce off the 1.3420 support level, taking the price to an almost three-month high of 1.3868. The pair added 3.4% on this rally, trying to switch the medium-term outlook to positive.Technically, the RSI is moving horizontally near the 70 level, while the MACD oscillator is losing some momentum above its trigger and zero lines.
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XM市场研究 - 1天前

Cryptos prepare for a tumultuous period – Crypto News

Cryptocurrencies are on the back foot this weekBitcoin continues to outperform ethereumUS and Japan elections to impact cryptocurrenciesBitcoin fails to break above $70k levelMixed performance by the key cryptocurrenciesThe cryptocurrency market is starting to feel the chills as the US election is less than a fortnight away. Actual voting is underway with more 25m Americans having already cast their votes, particularly in the crucial states that will determine the election’s outcome.Bitcoin ha
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XM市场研究 - 1天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD rises after hitting 1.2900

GBPUSD returns above uptrend lineStochastics and RSI show positive signsGBPUSD headed south on Wednesday’s session, meeting the 1.2900 round number, but today is recouping its losses and is testing again the 1.2970 level. The bearish wave may come to an end, especially if the market successfully climbs above the bearish cross within the 20- and 50-day simple moving averages (SMA) of 1.3100–1.3130.On the other hand, a downward move could find the next support at the 200-day SMA at 1.2800 bef
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – WTI crude oil meets downtrend line again

WTI crude oil surpasses 20- and 50-day SMAsTechnical oscillators are mixedWTI crude oil futures are experiencing a new bullish wave, meeting the medium-term descending trend line again near the 73.00 level after the significant rebound off the 68.90 support level.Technically, the MACD oscillator is moving horizontally still beneath its trigger and zero lines; however, the stochastic oscillator is climbing above the 80 level, confirming the upside momentum in the market.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Midweek Technical Look – USDJPY, US500, Gold

USDJPY finds resistance near the 61.8% FibonacciUS 500 declines near the previous highsGold retreats within ascending channel
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure amid US election jitters, dollar extends gains

Reduced Fed rate cut bets and growing odds of a Trump win push up yieldsWall Street slips; gold also takes a hit, but only temporarilyDollar climbs to 3-month high, yen and euro struggleWall Street headed for weekly lossesThe rally on Wall Street came to an abrupt end this week as uncertainty about the looming US presidential election as well as about the pace of Fed rate cuts undermined confidence in risk assets.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – GBPJPY at 3-Month High

GBPJPY marks new higher high; remains restrictedResistance near 198.50; support seen around 196.00GBPJPY charted a three-month high of 198.42 at the top of a bullish channel, increasing speculation that a new bearish wave could soon start, especially after the close below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 197.35.Technical indicators are showing mixed signals: the stochastic oscillator is poised for a decline, while the RSI and MACD remain in bullish territory.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

US elections update: The race to the White House tightens

Trump closes in on Harris’s lead in the pollsNeck and neck race spurs market jittersOutcome still hinges on battleground statesTrump narrows the gapThe time for Americans to vote for a new president is drawing ever closer, but who will win on November 5 is looking a lot less certain now than it did when Vice President Kamala Harris entered the race.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Quick Brief – BoC delivers rate cut, points to further easing

BoC cuts rates by 50bps, keeps door open to further movesMarket fully prices in a 25bps rate cut in DecemberLoonie remains under pressure against the dollarThe Bank of Canada confirmed market expectations by delivering a 50bps rate cut at today’s meeting. Despite certain market participants pointing to a smaller move on the back of decent jobs and growth figures, the recent weak inflation report and the bearish move in oil seem to have tipped the scale in favour of a more aggressive rate cut.T
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – Tesla’s stock could still face a bumpy road ahead

Tesla stock stabilizes near 215, but downside risks remainNext support could develop around 200-205Q3 earnings due after the market closes Tesla’s stock has been hanging around 215 for a week after losing half of its 40% August-September rally.The technical picture is not looking bright yet. Having slid below the support trendline that connects the lows from April, the stock may suffer more downside in the coming sessions as the RSI and the MACD are displaying bearish vibes.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDJPY meets new high around 153.00

USDJPY rallies above 200-day SMAMACD and RSI confirm upside momentumUSDJPY surged to a fresh almost three-month high near 152.85, breaking the significant line of the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) to the upside. The price is creating a strong bullish wave from mid-September, adding around 10% to its value.Technically, the RSI is crossing abov
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Bearish

Technical Analysis – GBPUSD: One more burst of strength?

GBPUSD prints new lower low, reaches long-term support trendlineTechnical signals remain discouraging; more sellers wait below 1.2950 GBPUSD is currently in its fourth consecutive week of losses, gradually slipping below the 1.3000 mark for the first time since August. The pair recently hit a new lower low of 1.2943, with technical indicators reflecting persisting selling appetite.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Bullish

Gold add another new high in its recordsMACD seems to be overstretchedRSI stands above 70 levelGold prices flew to another all-time high of 2,753.18 today, creating a steep uptrend line in the 4-hour chart.The technical oscillators are confirming the recent bullish move with the RSI pointing slightly up above the 70 level; however, the MACD is suggesting an overstretched market, hovering near its trigger line well above the zero level.More increases could open the door for the next round numbers
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar, gold and US yields continue to rise

Euro is under pressure again as ECB dovish commentary lingersGold makes a new all-time high despite the 10-year US yield riseUS equities trade with low conviction ahead of Tesla earningsBoC to announce another rate cut, loonie could sufferEuro remains on the back footThe euro is desperately trying to show some signs of life and recover against both the US dollar and the pound.
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