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USDCAD

XM市场研究

XM市场研究 - 13小时前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD still near the almost 3-month high

USDCAD adds 3.4% from 1.3420Remains well above the SMAsMACD and RSI indicate overbought levelsUSDCAD has been creating a notable bullish rally since the bounce off the 1.3420 support level, taking the price to an almost three-month high of 1.3868. The pair added 3.4% on this rally, trying to switch the medium-term outlook to positive.Technically, the RSI is moving horizontally near the 70 level, while the MACD oscillator is losing some momentum above its trigger and zero lines.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure amid US election jitters, dollar extends gains

Reduced Fed rate cut bets and growing odds of a Trump win push up yieldsWall Street slips; gold also takes a hit, but only temporarilyDollar climbs to 3-month high, yen and euro struggleWall Street headed for weekly lossesThe rally on Wall Street came to an abrupt end this week as uncertainty about the looming US presidential election as well as about the pace of Fed rate cuts undermined confidence in risk assets.
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XM市场研究 - 2天前

Quick Brief – BoC delivers rate cut, points to further easing

BoC cuts rates by 50bps, keeps door open to further movesMarket fully prices in a 25bps rate cut in DecemberLoonie remains under pressure against the dollarThe Bank of Canada confirmed market expectations by delivering a 50bps rate cut at today’s meeting. Despite certain market participants pointing to a smaller move on the back of decent jobs and growth figures, the recent weak inflation report and the bearish move in oil seem to have tipped the scale in favour of a more aggressive rate cut.T
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Daily Comment – Dollar, gold and US yields continue to rise

Euro is under pressure again as ECB dovish commentary lingersGold makes a new all-time high despite the 10-year US yield riseUS equities trade with low conviction ahead of Tesla earningsBoC to announce another rate cut, loonie could sufferEuro remains on the back footThe euro is desperately trying to show some signs of life and recover against both the US dollar and the pound.
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XM市场研究 - 3天前Neutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD needs a close above 1.3830

USDCAD prints fresh highs but has tough time closing above 1.3830Technical signals reflect fragile buying sentimentBoC rate decision due on Wednesday at 13:45 GMTUSDCAD reached a new high of 1.3848 on Monday, but it pulled back to end the day just below that crucial 1.3830 level, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the August-September downtrend.With the RSI hanging around the 70 overbought mark and the MACD hovering near its October 2023 highs, a significant rally in the short
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Neutral

Weekly Technical Outlook – USDCAD, EURUSD, GBPUSD

USDCAD rally may have more room to go as BoC rate decision awaitedEURUSD looks fragile following ECB’s meeting; flash PMIs next in focusGBPUSD is not out of the woods; flash PMIs could provide fresh direction BoC rate decision --> USDCAD  USDCAD is back in the 1.3800 territory and a short distance below October’s high of 1.3837 as investors expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to slash interest rates by 50bps 3.75% on Wednesday.
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XM市场研究 - 4天前

Daily Comment – Gold and dollar edge up as markets bet on Trump win

US election risks move to the forefront as Trump narrows gap with HarrisGold begins week with new record as geopolitical tensions add to demandStocks mixed ahead of key earningsTrump trade makes a returnGold extended its record streak at the start of the new trading week as investors increasingly bet on Donald Trump winning the US presidential election on November 5. The precious metal climbed to all-time highs above $2,730/oz amid the growing risk of Trump returning to the White House.
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XM市场研究 - 4天前Neutral

BoC policy meeting: a rate cut and clues for the next one – Preview

BoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bps, the fourth one in a rowPolicymakers may give some hints about the December meetingLoonie looks strongly bearishDecision comes out on Wednesday at 13:45 GMTFall in inflation confirms the rate cutIt is widely expected that the Bank of Canada (BoC) will announce a substantial interest rate cut on Wednesday, particularly in light of the inflation data that was released the previous week.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Week Ahead – BoC to speed up rate cuts; flash PMIs eyed for growth clues

Bank of Canada meets; may opt for bigger 50-bps cutOctober flash PMIs to set the mood amid some growth concernsA relatively quiet week otherwise, with mostly second-tier releasesBoC to likely cut by half a pointExpectations that the Bank of Canada will cut rates by 50 basis points at its October meeting firmed up after the latest CPI data. Nevertheless, markets are not fully convinced of an outsized move, hence, there is a little bit of uncertainty heading into Wednesday’s decision by Canada��
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Midweek Technical Look – EURJPY, USDCAD, Gold

EURJPY in a wait-and-see mode ahead of ECB's rate decisionUSDCAD looks overbought after fast rally to two-month highGold starts a new bullish wave. Will it hit a new record high?
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Daily Comment – Stocks under pressure by chipmakers, pound slips on CPI drop

Chip stocks hit by selloff after ASML cuts 2025 guidanceDollar stretches gains as pound and kiwi fall on lower inflationOil steadier amid ongoing ME drama, gold heads towards fresh recordChip and AI stocks take a diveEquity markets suffered a setback on Tuesday after Dutch semiconductor giant, ASML, sparked panic about the demand outlook for chips when it accidentally published its earnings report a day early.
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XM市场研究 - 1周前Neutral

Quick Brief – Canadian CPI opens the door for 50 bps rate cut by BoC

Canadian CPI falls to 1.6% y/yBoC is expected to cut rates by 50 bpsLoonie loses significant groundCanada's annual inflation rate decreased to 1.6% in September, down from 2% in the previous month, the lowest since February 2021 and below the market consensus of 1.8%. It was the second consecutive period in which CPI inflation fell on or below the Bank of Canada's target of 2%, endorsing expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 50 bps during the next policy meeting. Infla
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD posts another fresh 2-month peak

USDCAD’s bullish wave still continues near 1.3800Technical oscillators near overbought levelsUSDCAD surged to a new two-month high earlier today, just below the round number 1.3800. After completion of the double bottom pattern and the break above the 1.3650 support, the short-term view switched to positive. The pair added around 2.8%, with the technical oscillators confirming the upside move.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Neutral

Week Ahead – ECB headed towards another cut, CPI on the agenda elsewhere

The ECB is expected to deliver its first back-to-back rate cut on ThursdayCPI data incoming in Canada, China, Japan, New Zealand and UKChina GDP and US retail sales also high on investors’ radarIs an ECB rate cut a done deal?Following the RBNZ, which cut interest rates by 50 basis points this Wednesday, the central bank torch will be passed next week to the ECB.
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD extends its bullish rally to new 2-month high

USDCAD completes 8 green daysMACD and RSI indicate strong positive momentumUSDCAD skyrocketed to another fresh two-month high of 1.3774 during yesterday's session, adding more than 2.5% following the rebound from the double bottom pattern around 1.3420. The aggressive buying activity above the 1.3650 barrier, which served as a neckline, completed the latest formation.Currently, the price is experiencing its eighth straight green day, with the technical oscillators showing more room for impro
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Neutral

Midweek Technical Look – EURUSD, USDCAD, gold

EURUSD retains selling interest beneath 1.0950USDCAD declines after aggressive buying interest to 2-month highGold finds support at 2,600 critical level
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XM市场研究 - 2周前Bullish

Technical Analysis – USDCAD unlocks 2-month high

USDCAD adds almost 2% from the end of SeptemberDouble bottom pattern completedMACD and RSI head northUSDCAD is skyrocketing to a fresh two-month high of 1.3675 as it added almost 2% from the bounce off the 1.3420 trough, achieved on September 25. A double bottom formation has been completed following the break above the 1.3650 line.The momentum
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XM市场研究 - 3周前Neutral

Week Ahead – As the dollar recovers, spotlight falls on US CPI inflation

US CPI data to guide Fed rate cut bets and the dollarRBNZ expected to cut interest rates by 50bps Wounded pound awaits monthly GDP numbersCanada jobs data and BoC business survey also on tabDollar rebounds on safe haven flows and upbeat dataThe US dollar staged a meaningful recovery this week aided by Fed Chair Powell’s remarks that the US central bank would likely stick with quarter-point rate cuts, adding that they are not “in a hurry”, as new data have bolstered their confidence in the
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XM市场研究 - 3周前Neutral

Technical Analysis – USDCAD holds on recovery action as NFP report awaited

USDCAD returns above 20-day EMA and familiar constraining lineTechnical signals cannot warrant a meaningful rallySeptember’s US nonfarm payrolls due at 12:30 GMTUSDCAD continued its upward movement from a seven-month low of 1.3418, surpassing its 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the constraining ascending line from the 2021 low.The range of 1.3580-1.3620, which encapsulates the 50- and 200-day EMAs as well as the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest downleg is the next target
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XM市场研究 - 4周前Neutral

Central banks easing: the race to the bottom has officially commenced

Fed to lead the easing spree in the fourth quarter of 2024A conservative approach is priced in for ECB and BoESNB, BoC and RBNZ to ease further; RBA could follow suitBoJ could surprise with another rate hike by year-end More rate cuts on the way in the fourth quarter of 2024Another round of central banks’ meetings has been completed with the Fed stealing the show by announcing the start of its easing cycle.
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