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Sterling set for biggest four-week drop in a year before UK budget

Sterling set for biggest four-week drop in a year before UK budget LONDON, Oct 25 (Reuters) - The pound stayed on track for its biggest four-week decline in over a year on Friday, albeit it steady on the day, as investors cling to the dollar in choppy political and macroeconomic waters. Sterling traders are also preparing for the new Labour government's first budget on Oct.
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Sterling rises after report stokes slower BoE rate cut view

Sterling rises after report stokes slower BoE rate cut view By Medha Singh LONDON, Oct. 24 (Reuters) - Sterling firmed against the dollar and the euro on Thursday, alongside a rise in British government bond yields, as investors assessed the outlook for the Bank of England's monetary policy. The pound firmed 0.4% to $1.29695 against the dollar, not far from the $1.30 mark after sliding to the lowest since mid-August in the previous session.
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Euro at three-month low, yen under pressure

REFILE-FOREX-Euro at three-month low, yen under pressure Refiles to additional subscribers, no change to text Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at three-month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S.
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Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar

RPT-FOREX-Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar Repeats to additional subscribers Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at two month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S. presidential election By Alun John and Brigid Riley LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The dollar c limbed above 152 yen for the first time since late July on Wednesd
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Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar

FOREX-Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at two month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S. presidential election Updates at 0915 GMT By Alun John and Brigid Riley LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The dollar c limbed above 152 yen for the first time since late July on Wednesday and kept the eu
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Sterling dips on dollar, eyes on Governor Bailey's speech

Sterling dips on dollar, eyes on Governor Bailey's speech Sterling dips ahead of central bank governor speech Bank of England's Andrew Bailey to speak at 1845 GMT Weaker-than-expected British inflation could lead to dovish tone LONDON, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The pound dipped a touch on the dollar and held steady on the euro on Wednesday, as traders awaited remarks by Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey that could affect expectations of the central bank's rate cut path.
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Sterling hits fresh two-month low against dollar

Sterling hits fresh two-month low against dollar Oct 22 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a fresh 2-month low against the dollar on Tuesday while investors remained focused on the central banks' easing paths and the possible outcome of the U.S. elections. The U.S. dollar index =USD was just off a 2-1/2-month high on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to rate cuts, while the too-close-to-call U.S.
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Sterling dips as US dollar rides economy higher

Sterling dips as US dollar rides economy higher LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The pound fell on Monday as investors focused on the relative strength of the U.S. economy, pushing up the dollar. Sterling GBP=D3 was last down 0.2% at $1.3023, just above Thursday's two-month low of $1.2975. The euro EURGBP=D3 was up 0.1% at 83.35 pence, although it remained near its lowest level in 2-1/2 years against Britain's currency.
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FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm Price action in FX options reinforces the outlook that there's little to excite FX markets before the U.S. election, but plenty of risks to hedge in its wake. The recent/current lack of FX realised volatility is weighing on implied volatility, especially for options that expire prior to the U.S.
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Pound gets a boost from UK consumer spending

Pound gets a boost from UK consumer spending By Amanda Cooper LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - The pound rallied by as much as 0.5% on Friday, after data showed UK consumer spending was surprisingly strong last month, offering some reassurance about the strength of the economy, although the currency was still set for its third weekly drop. British retail sales unexpectedly rose in September, according to official data which contradicted signs that consumers were downbeat about possible tax rises ahead
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Big retracement but sterling won't roll over

BUZZ-COMMENT- Big retracement but sterling won't roll over Oct 18 (Reuters) - A big pullback from September's 1.3434 significant high and the weight remains with the sellers, but a buy-on-dips pattern highlights sterling demand in and around the 1.3000 level versus the dollar. This pattern of investor demand shows up well on the weekly chart with long lower candlestick shadows for weeks ending Sept.
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US recap: EUR/USD slides after ECB cut, dour outlook

BUZZ-COMMENT-US recap: EUR/USD slides after ECB cut, dour outlook USD/JPY holds above 150 on Goldilocks view AUD/USD -Longs hold onto gains despite US data results Oct 17 (Reuters) - The dollar rose to a fresh 11-week high on Thursday after a batch of economic data showed a U.S. economy that remains resilient. U.S retail sales rose an above-forecast 0.4% in September, weekly jobless claims fell, October’s Philadelphia Fed index beat the median estimate and the NAHB homebuilder index edged up i
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FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers FX option implied volatility remains broadly heavy amid the ongoing lack of FX realised volatility, but the impending U.S. election and the risk of an extended USD recovery maintain demand and premium for the 'Trump trade' . Overnight expiry EUR related implied volatility was the lowest for any ECB policy announcement in 2024 - consistent with the lack of actual volatility in its wake.
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Sterling drifts near two-month lows versus dollar

Sterling drifts near two-month lows versus dollar Oct 17 (Reuters) - The pound drifted near two-month lows against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, after sliding a day earlier when a tame inflation report boosted Bank of England rate cut bets. Sterling was last down 0.1% at $1.29815 after breaching the key $1.30 mark on Wednesday when data showed British inflation dropped to the lowest since April 2021, and by more than economists had expected.
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Euro hits multi-week lows ahead of ECB rate cut; dollar firms on 'Trump trade'

FOREX-Euro hits multi-week lows ahead of ECB rate cut; dollar firms on 'Trump trade' Updates at 0818 GMT By Medha Singh and Rae Wee SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) - The euro slid to a more than two-month low on Thursday ahead of an expected European Central Bank rate cut, while the dollar hit its highest in 11 weeks on the prospect Trump, whose policies the market considers more bullish, will win the U.S.
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US dollar rallies on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; inflation weighs on pound

FOREX-US dollar rallies on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; inflation weighs on pound U.S. dollar hits fresh 11-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Adds new comment, graphic, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss NEW YORK, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar firmed on Wednesday, hitting an 11-week high, as investors r uled out a hefty interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve at the next policy meeting and priced in a potential ele
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US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data

FOREX-US dollar firms on Fed outlook, potential Trump win; pound sinks after inflation data U.S. dollar hits fresh 10-week high Sterling falls to two-month low Fed rate futures now fully pricing in 25-bp rate cut Recasts, adds new comment, bullets, FX table, updates prices By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Alun John NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 16 (Reuters) - The U.S.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be

BUZZ-COMMENT-The more the BoE cuts, the less merry pound may be Sterling might be in for a far from merry Christmas if the probability of the Bank of England delivering three or more consecutive interest rate cuts, beginning in November, continues to grow. Markets currently see a material chance of the BoE reducing rates in December and February, in addition to the 25 basis point cut to 4.75% expected on Nov.
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FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low

BUZZ-COMMENT-FX options show ECB risk to EUR/USD is at long time low Oct 16 (Reuters) - The European Central Bank is almost unanimously expected to cut rates by 25bps to 3.25% on Thursday. An increase in related FX option premiums shows the market is not complacent about the potential for increased FX volatility, but expects it to be limited. Overnight options expire on the next working day at 10 a.m.
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