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Stocks edge up but set for weekly drop on US election nerves; crude oil rises

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks edge up but set for weekly drop on US election nerves; crude oil rises S&P 500, Nasdaq advance Crude prices gain 2% Dollar index rises Benchmark 10-year yields edge higher Gold prices flat Updates prices throughout, adds paragraphs 9-14 By Chibuike Oguh NEW YORK, Oct 25 (Reuters) - Global stocks were trading higher on Friday, although they were set for a weekly loss amid U.S.
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There's little to stop dollar rising

BUZZ-COMMENT-There's little to stop dollar rising Oct 23 (Reuters) - In 2022 the dollar's rally came to an abrupt halt due to the overcrowding of bets on its rise and investments in the U.S. currency. Following a lengthy correction and a purge of those bets and investments there is now little to stop a dollar rise that looks increasingly likely. When the dollar peaked in 2022 it was also overbought, yet the resulting correction of these extreme conditions proved to be modest - just 23.6% of the
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Euro at three-month low, yen under pressure

REFILE-FOREX-Euro at three-month low, yen under pressure Refiles to additional subscribers, no change to text Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at three-month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S.
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Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar

RPT-FOREX-Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar Repeats to additional subscribers Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at two month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S. presidential election By Alun John and Brigid Riley LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The dollar c limbed above 152 yen for the first time since late July on Wednesd
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Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar

FOREX-Yen under pressure at 152 per dollar Yen hits three-month low amid rising U.S. Treasury yields Euro at two month low, with dovish ECB also in mix Bank of Canada meeting to guide Loonie Fed's Beige Book tops U.S. economic calendar on Wednesday Investors weigh possibility of Trump win in U.S. presidential election Updates at 0915 GMT By Alun John and Brigid Riley LONDON/TOKYO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - The dollar c limbed above 152 yen for the first time since late July on Wednesday and kept the eu
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Swiss Ems Chemie 9M sales down on weak demand in Europe and China

Swiss Ems Chemie 9M sales down on weak demand in Europe and China Oct 23 (Reuters) - Swiss chemicals firm Ems Chemie EMSN.S said on Wednesday its nine-month sales fell due to weak demand in its main markets Europe and China, and a strong Swiss franc, which appreciated as a safe haven currency. The company maintained its full-year guidance although it expects the weak market environment to persist in the fourth quarter.
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What matters now is that traders have covered shorts

BUZZ-COMMENT-What matters now is that traders have covered shorts Oct 21 (Reuters) - How traders are positioned is a crucial factor influencing the direction of currencies and what matters now is that traders have covered shorts, boosting the dollar's value ahead of series of interest rate cuts that may bring it back down. The big dollar short totalled over $17 billion when the Federal Reserve cut interest rates in September.
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Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar

FOREX-Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar Updates at 1125 GMT By Vidya Ranganathan and Harry Robertson SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed on Monday and cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high as a rise in U.S. bond yields and the looming presidential election continued to impact markets. Currency moves last week were driven by the European Central Bank's dovish rate cut and strong U.S.
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Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar

FOREX-Strong U.S. economy and 'Trump trades' boost dollar Updates at 0810 GMT By Vidya Ranganathan and Harry Robertson SINGAPORE/LONDON, Oct 21 (Reuters) - T he dollar climbed on Monday and c ryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high a s a rise in U.S. bond yields and the looming Presidential election continued to impact markets. Currency moves last week were driven by the European Central Bank's dovish rate cut and strong U.S.
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Rise of safer assets may concern FX traders

REFILE-BUZZ-COMMENT-Rise of safer assets may concern FX traders Adds chart Oct 18 (Reuters) - The rise of safer assets may concern traders who might position for the risk aversion that gains for these assets implies. Gold, which has risen over $900/oz in the past year, certainly reflects heightened demand for an asset that has continued to rise even though the inflation that once supported it has dissipated.
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'Trump trade' and yields keep dollar supported

FOREX-'Trump trade' and yields keep dollar supported Updates prices By Vidya Ranganathan SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Election polls that show rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov.
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Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies

FOREX-Bitcoin at 3-month high as Trump odds drive currencies SINGAPORE, Oct 21 (Reuters) - Cryptocurrency bitcoin hit a three-month high in early Asia trading on Monday and the dollar looked set to extend its gains in markets counting down to the U.S. presidential election in two weeks. Election polls show rising odds of former President Donald Trump winning the Nov.
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FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing FX calm before US election storm Price action in FX options reinforces the outlook that there's little to excite FX markets before the U.S. election, but plenty of risks to hedge in its wake. The recent/current lack of FX realised volatility is weighing on implied volatility, especially for options that expire prior to the U.S.
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FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers

BUZZ-FX options wrap - USD gains and Trump trades are key drivers FX option implied volatility remains broadly heavy amid the ongoing lack of FX realised volatility, but the impending U.S. election and the risk of an extended USD recovery maintain demand and premium for the 'Trump trade' . Overnight expiry EUR related implied volatility was the lowest for any ECB policy announcement in 2024 - consistent with the lack of actual volatility in its wake.
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Big central banks are firmly in rate-cut mode

GRAPHIC-Big central banks are firmly in rate-cut mode By Naomi Rovnick and Alun John LONDON, Oct 17 (Reuters) - Seven of the 10 big developed-market central banks tracked by Reuters have now started easing policy, with expectations of how quickly each will move swinging back and forth as policymakers stress data dependency. Here's where major rate-setters stand and what traders expect next.
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

RPT-BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Repeats with no changes Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound.
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FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Trump trade, ECB risk, revealing sales Shorter dated expiry implied volatility in most of the major currency pairs remains under pressure and reflects the lack of current FX realised volatility. That's not expected to change much until the U.S. election, where implied volatility is higher and better supported. Overnight expiry implied volatility remains very low, even in EUR related pairings which now include Thursday's ECB policy announcement .
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These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade'

BUZZ-COMMENT-These FX options are becoming 'the Trump trade' Oct 16 (Reuters) - U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump has regained his poll lead over Democratic rival Kamala Harris with only three weeks to go before the U.S. election and it's fuelling demand for options to hedge the risk of a stronger USD rebound. USD call options give holders the right to buy the USD at levels that are advantageous to the FX spot rate, for an upfront premium.
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This may be ideal time to sell dollars

BUZZ-COMMENT-This may be ideal time to sell dollars Oct 15 (Reuters) - This may be ideal time to sell dollars, which appears to have peaked ahead of important resistance levels following a period when traders reduced short positions. Traders who have been preparing for the European Central Bank to lower interest rates on Thursday are less prepared for the dollar drop that may result lower oil prices.
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FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast

BUZZ-FX options wrap - Pricing says FX is still going nowhere fast Another day of FX consolidation and limited volatility which keeps the pressure on FX option implied volatility . EUR/USD tested below 1.0900 but lacked the impetus needed to excite the FX options market. The ECB is widely expected to cut rates by 25 bps on Thursday, so it would take a surprise hold to reignite related FX volatility.
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