Individual investor bulls tumble to a 6-month low - AAII
Main U.S. indexes green: Nasdaq out front, up ~1.3%
Tech leads S&P 500 sector gainers; Financials weakest group
Euro STOXX 600 index up ~0.04%
Dollar ~flat; gold, bitcoin edge up; crude up >1%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edge up to ~4.21%
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INDIVIDUAL INVESTOR BULLS TUMBLE TO A 6-MONTH LOW - AAII
Optimism among individual investors over the short-term outlook for U.S. stocks fell sharply in the latest American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey. With this, both pessimism and neutral sentiment increased.
Meanwhile, about a third of investors surveyed are paying particular attention to whether earnings are better or worse than expected as companies report their quarterly results.
AAII reported that bullish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will rise over the next six months, slid 7.7 percentage points to 37.7% (lowest since 32.1% on April 25, 2024). Bullish sentiment is above its historical average of 37.5% for the 50th time in 51 weeks.
Bearish sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will fall over the next six months, gained 4.5 percentage points to 29.9%. Bearish sentiment is below its historical average of 31.0% for the 10th time in 11 weeks.
Neutral sentiment, or expectations that stock prices will stay essentially unchanged over the next six months, rose 3.2 percentage points to 32.4%. Neutral sentiment is above its historical average of 31.5% for the first time in 16 weeks.
With these changes, the bull-bear spread slid 12.3 percentage points to 7.8% from 20.1% last week. The spread is above its historical average of 6.5% for the 24th time in 25 weeks.
In this week’s special question, AAII asked its members what they see as the key metrics as companies report earnings.
Here is AAII's graphic showing how they responded:
(Terence Gabriel)
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FOR FRIDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
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WALL STREET ON THE MEND, GETS REPRIEVE FROM LOWER TREASURY YIELDS - CLICK HERE
DOW INDUSTRIALS: FROM WEEKLY WIN STREAK TO DAILY LOSING STREAK - CLICK HERE
TIME TO TAKE PROFIT ON SOME TRUMP TRADES, CITI SAYS - CLICK HERE
RACHEL REEVES WALKING A TIGHTROPE WITH BUDGET - RBC BLUEBAY - CLICK HERE
SHARP SWINGS - CLICK HERE
EUROPE BEFORE THE BELL: BUSY EARNINGS, CHINA GETS THE BLAME - CLICK HERE
MARKETS ENTER THE EYE OF RISK-EVENT STORM - CLICK HERE
AAII10252024 https://tmsnrt.rs/4e0mPfW
AAIISQ10252024 https://tmsnrt.rs/40fnk2F
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