Dow Industrials: From weekly win streak to daily losing streak
U.S. equity index futures slightly green: Nasdaq 100 ~0.5%
Sep durable goods > est; ex-transports > est
Euro STOXX 600 index ~flat
Dollar, gold, bitcoin all edge red; crude up >1%
U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield edges down to ~4.19%
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DOW INDUSTRIALS: FROM WEEKLY WIN STREAK TO DAILY LOSING STREAK
With its more than 2% drop so far this week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI is on the verge of ending its six-week winning streak.
Indeed, with four-straight days of losses since last Friday, the blue-chip average has quickly reversed from its record highs back down toward support:
On Thursday, the Dow fell as low as 42,191.83 before recovering somewhat to end at 42,374.36.
With this, it neared the broken channel line from its August 2022 high which is now support around 42,210. Since cleanly breaking above this line in mid-September, the Dow used it as support to contain weakness later last month and into early October. The early-October low was at 41,831.74.
Of note, since its April 2024 trough, the Dow has a distinct pattern of higher lows. Therefore, bulls will want to see the early-October low continue to hold, and as stands e-mini Dow futures 1YMcv1 are suggesting the DJI is poised to add more than 100 points, or 0.3%, in the initial throes of Friday's session.
In the event the broken channel line, early October low, and the rising 50-day moving average (DMA), which ended Thursday around 41,775, were to give way, downside pressure may intensify.
The rising 100-DMA finished Thursday around 40,660.
The early-September trough was at 39,993.07, while the rising 200-DMA ended Thursday around 39,670. Since the Dow reclaimed this longer-term moving average on November 2, 2023, it has not ended a session back below it.
(Terence Gabriel)
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FOR FRIDAY'S EARLIER LIVE MARKETS POSTS:
TIME TO TAKE PROFIT ON SOME TRUMP TRADES, CITI SAYS - CLICK HERE
RACHEL REEVES WALKING A TIGHTROPE WITH BUDGET - RBC BLUEBAY - CLICK HERE
SHARP SWINGS - CLICK HERE
EUROPE BEFORE THE BELL: BUSY EARNINGS, CHINA GETS THE BLAME - CLICK HERE
MARKETS ENTER THE EYE OF RISK-EVENT STORM - CLICK HERE
Dow10252024 https://tmsnrt.rs/3ApjWaG
(Terence Gabriel is a Reuters market analyst. The views expressed are his own)
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