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Forint firms as Hungary's central bank pauses rate cuts



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Forint firms as Hungary's central bank pauses rate cuts</title></head><body>

Adds Hungary cen bank decision, forint reaction, trader quote

By Anita Komuves

BUDAPEST, Oct 22 (Reuters) -Hungary's forint firmed against the euro on Thursday after the central bank left its base rate unchanged, as widely expected, and said it could keep the rate at the current level for a prolonged period if needed.

The forint EURHUF= was up 0.32% on the day and trading at 400.55 per euro at 1347 GMT. The currency briefly firmed past the psychologically important level of 400 after the rate decision was announced but soon gave up those gains.

"The market got what it had expected, that's why we did not see a big move in the forint's rate," an FX trader in Budapest said. "But the central bank's messages could put a cap on weakening for a while."

The National Bank of Hungary kept its base rateHUINT=ECI at 6.50%, halting cuts for now despite inflation falling to its 3% target for the first time since 2021.

The bank couldkeep its base rate at the current 6.5% level for a prolonged period if needed, Deputy Governor Csaba Kandracs said.

The forint, central Europe's worst performing currency in 2024, has weakened sharply in recent weeks, raising speculation of a rebound in price growth and shifting expectations to a pause in rate cuts.

The forint fell beyond the 400-per-euro level this month for the first time since March 2023.

In Poland, the zloty EURPLN= was little moved, edging down 0.02% on the day to 4.32per euro. The Czech crown EURCZK= firmed 0.11% and was trading at 25.242, recovering some losses from the previous session.

Central European currencies have recently come under pressure from uncertainties over the U.S. presidential election, with chances of a Donald Trump victory helping the U.S. dollar and weighing on the region's assets, analysts say.

On Tuesday, the dollar clung to a 2-1/2 month high on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will take a measured approach to rate cuts.

"The crown is staying in a lightly defensive position," CSOB bank said. "In the coming sessions, we do not expect any significant improvement (as) nervousness before U.S. elections will be evident in risk assets sensitive to a rise in U.S. market rates."





CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1547 CET






CURRENCIES







Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.2420

25.2700

+0.11%

-2.14%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

400.5500

401.8500

+0.32%

-4.34%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.3200

4.3190

-0.02%

+0.57%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9740

4.9735

-0.01%

+0.01%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9900

117.0400

+0.04%

+0.22%


Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1630.55

1627.5200

+0.19%

+15.31%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

74046.72

73990.26

+0.08%

+22.15%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2255.66

2278.75

-1.01%

-3.73%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17416.72

17441.39

-0.14%

+13.31%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic





spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4460

-0.0200

+130bps

+1bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.8080

0.1760

+171bps

+18bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.0300

0.0480

+175bps

+4bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

5.0030

-0.0340

+285bps

-1bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.4100

0.0050

+331bps

+1bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.7420

0.0550

+346bps

+5bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS







3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.81

3.53

3.34

4.12


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.83

6.63

6.51

6.40


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.76

5.36

4.90

5.85


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************





Additional reporting by Jason Hovet in Prague and Alan Charlish in Warsaw; Editing by Mark Potter and Ed Osmond

For related news and prices, click on the codes in brackets: All emerging market news EMRG CEEU CEE/ Spot FX rates Eastern Europe spot FX EEFX= Middle East spot FX MEFX= Asia spot FX ASIAFX= Latin America spot FX LATAMFX= Other news and reports World central bank news CEN Economic Data Guide ECONGUIDE Official rates GLOBAL/INT Emerging Diary EMRG/DIARY Top events M/DIARY Diaries DIARY Diaries Index IND/DIARY
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