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Currencies down, under pressure from stronger dollar



<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><head><title>CEE MARKETS-Currencies down, under pressure from stronger dollar</title></head><body>

By Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk

WARSAW, Oct 25 (Reuters) -Central European currencies were weaker on Friday,under pressure from a stronger dollar as traders bet that the U.S. Federal Reserve will slow rate cuts and amid uncertainty about the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Hungary's forint EURHUF= was trading 0.3% lower on the day at 403.8 per euro at 0824 GMT, its lowest since Dec. 27, 2022.

Central European currencies are being pressured by a rise in U.S. Treasury yields and uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election, an FX trader in Budapest said.

"I think the uncertainties around the American election are more or less priced in by now. The next step is now the election, the result could push the dollar in either direction, and this will affect the region," he said.

"Today's move is not very big so far. Technically, the way is open for the forint to weaken as far as 405 or 407," a second FX traders aid.

The dollar got a boost as investors no longer expect an outsized 50-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve, a view that is reflected in rising Treasury yields.

The dollar was also supported by anticipation that Donald Trump could win a second term as U.S. president, as his tax and tariff policies are considered inflationary, which markets anticipate would keep U.S. rates high and hit trading partner currencies.

The forint's weakness forced the National Bank of Hungary to pause its rate cuts at its meeting on Tuesday.

On Friday, ratings agency Standard and Poor's is expected to release its review of Hungary's debt ratings and the wait for that has also kept investors cautious.

The zloty EURPLN= was down 0.1% against the euro at 4.35.

"The EUR/PLN exchange rate is stuck at around 4.34... Today we do not expect any major changes in the Polish currency. In our opinion, the macro data calendar does not contain information that could significantly influence sentiment," Bank Millennium analysts said in a note.

"The issue of the upcoming presidential elections in the United States remains the dominant topic in the valuation of assets in developed markets."

The Czech crown EURCZK= is down 0.16% at 25.24 per euro on the day and flat for the week.

Rate-setter Jan Prochazka told Reuters the Czech National Bank can continue easing monetary policy amid weaker growth abroad and a slow domestic demand recovery, but must be mindful of inflation hotspots, especially in the services sector.

The Prague bourse .PX was a touch down as shares in Moneta MONET.PR fell 0.3% after reaching an all-time high on Thursday following a rise in its profit outlook. The Warsaw blue-chip index .WIG20 fell 0.5% while Budapest .BUX was up 0.9%.

Hungary's pharmaceutical company Richter GDRB.BU was up 1% by 0851 GMT after the company announced a new collaboration with U.S. pharma company AbbVie late on Thursday for the discovery and developments of novel targets of neuropsychiatric conditions.




CEE MARKETS

SNAPSHOT

AT 1024 CET





CURRENCIES






Latest

Previous

Daily

Change




trade

close

change

in 2024

EURCZK=

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.2400

25.1990

-0.16%

-2.13%

EURHUF=

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

403.8000

402.7000

-0.27%

-5.11%

EURPLN=

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.3500

4.3450

-0.11%

-0.13%

EURRON=

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9730

4.9734

+0.01%

+0.03%

EURRSD=

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

116.9800

117.1000

+0.10%

+0.23%


Note: daily change

calculated from


1800 CET












Latest

Previous

Daily

Change





close

change

in 2024

.PX

Prague

.PX

1645.52

1647.6900

-0.13%

+16.37%

.BUX

Budapest

.BUX

74398.13

73715.29

+0.93%

+22.73%

.WIG20

Warsaw

.WIG20

2233.82

2245.55

-0.52%

-4.66%

.BETI

Bucharest

.BETI

17514.87

17445.16

+0.40%

+13.95%













Spread

Daily






vs Bund

change in


Czech Republic




spread

CZ2YT=RR

2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.4170

-0.0200

+128bps

-6bps

CZ5YT=RR

5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.7660

0.0100

+167bps

-2bps

CZ10YT=RR

10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.0020

-0.0130

+173bps

-3bps


Poland






PL2YT=RR

2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.9490

-0.0110

+281bps

-5bps

PL5YT=RR

5-year

PL5YT=RR

5.4110

-0.0180

+331bps

-5bps

PL10YT=RR

10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.7870

0.0130

+351bps

-1bps










FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS





3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank


Czech Rep

CZKFRAPRIBOR=

3.82

3.57

3.43

4.10


Hungary

HUFFRABUBOR=

6.83

6.61

6.43

6.41


Poland

PLNFRAWIBOR=

5.68

5.25

4.79

5.85


Note: FRA quotes

are for ask prices





**************************************************************




Reporting by Anna Wlodarczak-Semczuk in Warsaw; Additional reporting by Jan Lopatka in Prague and Anita Komuves in Budapest; Editing by Janane Venkatraman

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